NHLBI study exhonorates salt for cardiovascular disease. What, you didn't read that in the headline?
NHLBI scientists and their taxpayer-funded university researchers released a follow-up study for the important Trials of Hypertension Prevention trial . The authors claimed "a higher soidum to potassium excretion ratio is associated with increased risk of subsequent CVD (cardiovascular disease)." Headline writers fell in line.
A summary analysis of the article published in the January 12 Archives of Internal Medicine would have been more accurate had it stated: There was no statistically significant relationship between sodium excretion and cardiovascular risk and even the reported non-significant association evaporated when the researchers adjusted for known confounding factors. A "p-value" (calculating the likelihood that the reported association was accurate) is usually considered valid when it is 0.05 or less, meaning a 95% chance that the result is accurate. The sodium:blood pressure "p-value" for men was 0.49 and for women 0.98. This means that there was only a 51% chance of a valid relationship between sodium among men and a miniscule 2% chance in women. Hardly the conclusion drawn by the authors or the headline writers.
With the Dietary Guidelines for Americans up for review, we can hope the process deals more with data than headlines. But don't hold your breath.
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